Service Plays Thursday 7/29/10

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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Mat Latos, San Diego Padres (11-4, 2.48 ERA)

A huge part of the Padres’ surprise success in 2010 has been the impressive play of Latos. The right hander has pitched his way into Cy Young talks, especially his recent performances. Latos is 6-0 in his last seven starts, including winning three straight heading into Thursday’s game against the Los Angeles Dodgers. He returned from 16 days on the DL in his last trip to the bump, giving up two runs on seven hits in six innings of work for a 9-2 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday.

Vin Mazzaro, Oakland Athletics (6-2, 3.45 ERA)

The A’s young righty hasn’t tasted defeat in five games, going 4-0 with a slim 2.12 ERA in that span. He has allowed more than three earned runs in just two of his 10 starts this season and is coming off a solid appearance against the Chicago White Sox last weekend. He went six innings, giving up only two runs on three hits for a 10-2 win Saturday.


Slumping

Rick Porcello, Detroit Tigers (4-8, 5.55 ERA)

The Tigers righty didn’t pitch terrible in his last trip to the mound, putting in a quality start against the Toronto Blue Jays. But, Porcello did walk four batters and missed out on getting his first MLB win since May 23. He was called up from the minors to pitch in a doubleheader versus the Cleveland Indians two weeks ago, giving up only one run on six hits in eight innings of work. However, he was dealt another no-decision in a 2-1 loss. His control has been off and on since returning to the bigs.

Ubaldo Jimenez (15-2, 2.75 ERA)

Jimenez was once a shoe-in to win the NL Cy Young. But after his last four starts, the Rockies righthander has fallen off his record pace. Jimenez is just 1-1 in that span after allowing 18 total runs. In his last appearance, he was knocked around for six runs on only three hits while walking six batters in just two innings against the Philadelphia Phillies.


Debuting

Dustin Moseley, New York Yankees (0-0, 4.22 ERA)

The injury to Andy Pettitte has forced the Yankees to hand the ball to 28-year-old Moseley for Thursday’s game against the Cleveland Indians. Moseley has worked exclusively out of the bullpen since joining the big-league club in early July. He got in just under five innings of work against the Kansas City Royals this weekend, giving up only one hit while striking out and walking one batter. He is 8-7 with a 5.41 ERA during his MLB career, the past four years spent with the Los Angeles Angels.

Joe Saunders, Arizona Diamondbacks (6-10, 4.62 ERA)

Saunders gets thrown to the wolves in his first start for the D-backs. The lefthander was dealt from Los Angeles earlier this week and will now face one of the toughest lineups in baseball. Saunders did leave L.A. on a high note, going seven innings and allowing only one run on seven hits in a 1-0 loss to the Texas Rangers. He’s faced the Phillies only once before, allowing two runs on five hits over seven innings during interleague action while with the Angels back in June 2008.

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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox (-165, 8.5)

The Mariners must leave their bats back in Seattle whenever they got on the road. The M's have scored just 14 runs in their six away games since the All-Star break.

They've been particularly poor at the plate when facing righthanders, batting just .193 over their last 10. That plays right into the right hand of White Sox's starter Freddy Garcia, who has just one win over his last five starts but has pitched well in all except his last.

"There's nothing you can do," the 11-year veteran said following his last outing. "Continue to do your thing, the little things, make the pitches when you need them and go from there."

The M's, who are 1-7 in their last eight stops in Chicago, counter with the inexperience of spot starter David Pauley, who is 0-5 in his brief career.

The righthander is 0-2 this season and has yet to go deeper than six innings - bad news for a struggling bullpen.

Pick: White Sox


Florida Marlins at San Francisco Giants (-150, 8)

It's been one month since Madison Bumgarner made his season debut and he has already developed into a quality starter in that short period of time.

Bumgarner's last five starts have all come on the road and he is 4-1 with a 1.87 ERA over that span. He allowed just five hits and two runs over seven innings in his last outing against the Diamondbacks.

"I just try to relax, and when stuff starts to happen, I just slow it down a little bit," the rookie lefthander said. "I feel like I've done a pretty good job of that."

Conversely, the Marlins are 1-4 in Anibel Sanchez's 1-4 last five starts and he hasn't earned a win since June 22. The righthander has allowed 12 runs over his last 16 innings of work.

The Marlins are batting just .226 against lefties in their last 10 while the Giants are pounding righties to the tune of .279 over that span. The Giants are 4-1 against the Marlins this season.

Pick: Giants

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WNBA TRENDS AND NOTES
Trend Factors And Indexes

7:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
San Antonio is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

10:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. PHOENIX
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Minnesota's last 11 games
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

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Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets

San Antonio Silver Stars at Washington Mystics (-7.5, 147)

The Silver Stars’ postseason plans are unraveling following back-to-back losses.

San Antonio fell to third in the Western Conference at 8-15, losing 77-72 to the New York Liberty on Tuesday. It was the team’s seventh loss in the past 10 outings.

"We've lost four or five games in the last stretch to a one-possession game," guard Becky Hammon told reporters. "It's tough, we're having to battle through some things and we're just not closing well."

Hammon has struggled to match her season scoring average in the past two games, scoring 10 and eight points respectively in those losses. She is just 5-for-18 from the field in that span after averaging 13.5 points on nearly 41 percent shooting this summer.

Pick: Washington


Minnesota Lynx at Phoenix Mercury (-9, 187)

The Mercury are licking their wounds after a heartbreaking loss to the first-place Seattle Storm Tuesday. Phoenix watched an 18-point halftime lead disappear, losing 91-85 and cementing their place as the second-best team in the Western Conference.

"I don't see them losing another game the rest of the season, really," a defeated Diana Taurasi told the media after scoring 27 points in a losing effort.

Tuesday’s defeat snapped a three-game winning streak for the Mercury and sends the team home on a down note with a hungry Lynx squad coming to the U.S. Airways Center Thursday.

Minnesota nearly upset Phoenix last weekend, losing 127-124 in double overtime – the second-highest scoring game ever in WNBA history.

Pick: Minnesota

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BETTOR'S TIPS AND NOTES
Bettors' Best Friend (BBF): Thursday's Wagering Tips

Lines To Keep An Eye On

Diamondbacks at Phillies: Phillies opened as -170 favorites but are listed as low as -150 at some books.
Argonauts at Alouttes (CFL): Alouttes opened as 10.5 but have dropped to 9.5. Total opened at 52.5 but it has jumed to 53.5.
Silver Stars at Mystics (WNBA): Total opened at 147.5 but has slipped to 147.
Lynx at Mercury (WNBA): Total opened at 186 and has climbed as high as 187 at some books.

Weather To Watch

Cardinals at Mets: 30 percent chance of thunderstorms.
Diamondbacks at Phillies: 40 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Who's Hot

Giants have won seven of their last nine.
Rangers have won seven of their last nine.
Phillies have won six in a row.
Dodgers have won five of their last six.
Rays have won five of their last six.

Who's Not

Rockies have lost seven in a row.
Orioles have lost six of their last seven.
Diamondbacks have lost five in a row.
Royals have lost five of their last six.
Cardinals have lost four of their last five.

Key Stat

64-23 - Combined score for the Toronto Blue Jays and the Baltimore Orioles in their 11 meetings this season, all won by the Blue Jays. It's the longest winning streak for Toronto against any team since 1999, when they won 13 in a row against, you guessed it, the Orioles.

Injury That Shouldn't Be Overlooked

The Philadelphia Phillies continue to lose firepower with outfielder Shane Victorino's move to the 15-day disabled list with a strained left oblique. Victorino suffered the injury during Tuesday's 9-5 victory over the Arizona Diamondbacks. He was 2-for-4 in the game and is batting .250 with 15 home runs and 53 RBIs this season for the Phillies, who are also without Jimmy Rollins and Chase Utley.

Game Of The Day

Dodgers at Padres (-140, 6.5)

Notable Quotable

"Whether he was mentally checked out or just wasn't quite into it down the stretch, he wasn't the same guy. I think everybody saw that, but no one wanted to acknowledge it."
Toronto Raptors president and GM Bryan Colangelo said of Chris Bosh, who signed with the Miami Heat after seven years in Toronto. Colangelo also questioned Bosh's toughness by taking off six more games for an injury after he had already been medically cleared to play.

Tips And Notes

The Kansas City Royals set a dubious club record this week by allowing 42 runs in a three-game stretch - falling 12-6 to the Yankees before being blown out by the Twins 19-1 and 11-2. Thursday's opponent, the Baltimore Orioles, haven't fared much better, allowing 27 runs during that same span. Obviously both teams have played in three consecutive overs, and the number for their matchup is 9.5.

Tiger Woods has decided to enter next week's Bridgestone Invitational at Firestone, where he is the defending champion and a seven-time winner. Woods won last year by rallying to become the first player to win a PGA Tour event seven times on the same course. He has won every year except for 2008, when he missed the second half of the season following knee surgery. Woods will once again be a heavy favorite to get his first PGA Tour win of the season and could be a good place for him to get on a roll one week before the PGA Championship.

Laurent Blanc said he will quit if he is unable to guide France through qualifying for Euro 2012. He might want to get his pink slip ready. Blanc replaced Raymond Domonech, who was fired after France went winless in the World Cup amid a player mutiny. He suspended all 23 players from the World Cup team for next month's friendly against Norway and must name his new roster by Aug. 5. France has fallen from an 8/1 pick to win the Euro Cup to 14/1.

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CFL DUNKEL

Toronto at Montreal
The Alouettes look to take advantage of a Toronto team that is 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings between the two teams. Montreal is the pick (-10) according to Dunkel, which has the Alouettes favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-10). Here are all of today's CFL picks.

THURSDAY, JULY 29

Game 411-412: Toronto at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 106.697; Montreal 121.658
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 15; 50
Vegas Line: Montreal by 10; 53
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-10); Under

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BASEBALL CRUSHER
PLAY OF THE DAY

Philadelphia Phillies (-155) over Arizona Diamondbacks

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GREEK SPORTS PICKS

FREE PLAYS
NY Mets -145
Atlanta Braves/Washington Nationals over 8.5

MLB LOCKS
None offered for Thurs

PREMIUM PLAYS
1 of 2 NY Yankees -150

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Reds and Red Sox Wednesday.

Thursday it's the Phillies. The profit is 15 sirignanos.

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Hondo

Hondo made a fine score with the A's last night but gave it right back when the maddening Metamu cils rallied for a loss that left the debt holding at 1,130 teufels.

Today, Mr. Aitch is figuring on R.A. to make a de posit and pad the IRA -- 10 units on Dickey and the Metamucils.

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Arthur Ralph Sports
487 - 359 run 58 %

Free play THURS Arizona + 140

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MLB DUNKEL

St. Louis at NY Mets
The Mets look to take advantage of a St. Louis team that is 2-10 in its last 12 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. New York is the pick (-145) according to Dunkel, which has the Mets favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-145). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, JULY 29

Game 901-902: St. Louis at NY Mets (12:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Hawksworth) 15.304; NY Mets (Dickey) 16.103
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-145); Over

Game 903-904: Atlanta at Washington (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Lowe) 15.244; Washington (Olsen) 14.265
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-135); Under

Game 905-906: Pittsburgh at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Maholm) 13.498; Colorado (Jimenez) 14.251
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-280); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-280); Over

Game 907-908: Florida at San Francisco (3:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Sanchez) 15.235; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 16.131
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-150); Under

Game 909-910: LA Dodgers at San Diego (6:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Padilla) 15.534; San Diego (Latos) 14.857
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Diego (-140); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+120); Over

Game 911-912: Arizona at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Saunders) 13.524; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 16.073
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-160); Under

Game 913-914: Detroit at Tampa Bay (12:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 14.483; Tampa Bay (Price) 16.772
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-240); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-240); Over

Game 915-916: NY Yankees at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Moseley) 16.716; Cleveland (Talbot) 15.195
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-150); Over

Game 917-918: Oakland at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Mazzaro) 15.080; Texas (Wilson) 16.051
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-200); Over

Game 919-920: Baltimore at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Matusz) 13.025; Kansas City (Davies) 14.210
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-135); Under

Game 921-922: Seattle at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Pauley) 14.382; White Sox (Garcia) 16.452
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-170); Over

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Hot pitchers

-- Dickey has a 1.83 RA in his last three starts, but Mets lost his last six outings, scoring total of four runs in his last four.
-- Maholm is 1-1, 2.45 in his last three starts.
-- Bumgarner is 4-0, 1.69 in his last four starts.
-- San Diego won last seven Latos starts (6-0, 1.36). Padilla is 3-2, 1.51 in his last six starts.
-- Phillies won last four Kendrick home starts, scoring 31 runs.

-- Price is 3-0, 2.08 in his last three home starts. Porcello has 2.57 RA in two starts since his return from minors.
-- Royals won last four Davies starts (1-0, 3.90).
-- Mazzaro is 4-0, 2.12 in his last five starts.
-- White Sox won last four FGarcia home starts (3-0, 3.00).

Cold pitchers
-- Hawksworth has a 6.31 RA in seven starts this season.
-- Lowe is 1-3, 4.66 in his last five starts. Olsen comes off DL to start here; he is 0-1, 4.20 in his last three starts.
-- Jimenez has an 8.18 RA in his last six starts.
-- ASanchez is 0-2, 6.55 in his last four starts.
-- Saunders was

-- Talbot is 0-3, 5.40 in his last four starts. Moseley is 8-7, 5.34 in 178.2 big league IP; he's made 23 starts in the major leagues, all for the Angels.
-- Matusz is 0-2, 12.10 in his last three starts; Orioles are 3-14 in his last 17 outings.
-- Pauley is 0-2, 3.78 in three starts for the Mariners.

Totals
-- Over is 5-1-2 in last eight Arizona road games.
-- Over is 8-4 in last twelve Atlanta games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in Mets' last eight games.
-- Over is 9-5 in last fourteen games at Coors Field.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers' last seven games.
-- Six of last eight ASanchez starts went over the total.

-- Under is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Detroit games.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Cleveland games.
-- Over is 7-3 in Mazzaro starts this season.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Kansas City home games.
-- Three of last four FGarcia home starts stayed under the total.

Hot Teams
-- Phillies won last seven games, outscoring foes 43-15.
-- Padres won nine of their last twelve games. Dodgers won five of their last seven games.
-- Marlins won eight of their last twelve games. Giants won 17 of their last 21 games.

-- Rays won nine of their last ten home games.
-- A's are 10-3 in last 13 games; Rangers are 9-4 in their last 13.
-- White Sox are 17-1 in their last eighteen home games.
-- Bronx won 16 of its last 21 games.

Cold Teams
-- Arizona is 4-23 in its last 27 road games.
-- Nationals lost eight of their last eleven games. Braves are 6-8 in their last 14 road games.
-- Mets are 3-10 since the All-Star break. Cardinals are 5-9 in their last 14 road games.
-- Pirates are 4-21 in last 25 road games, but won last two. Rockies lost 12 of their last 14 games.

-- Indians lost four of their last five games.
-- Tigers lost 12 of their last 15 games.
-- Royals lost 13 of their last 16 games. Orioles lost 11 of their last 12 games.
-- Mariners lost 20 of their last 25 games.

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WNBA DUNKEL

Minnesota at Phoenix
The Lynx look to take advantage of a Phoenix team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 home games. Minnesota is the pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by only 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+7 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, JULY 29

Game 651-652: San Antonio at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 109.348; Washington 114.462
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 5; 146
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 7 1/2; 147 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+7 1/2); Under

Game 653-654: Minnesota at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 110.326; Phoenix 115.672
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 5 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 7 1/2; 187
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+7 1/2); Over

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CAPPERS ACCESS
Rays(RL)
W.Sox(RL)

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GAMBLERS DATA
Kansas City (gulp)
-137

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Joe Wiz's Daily Free Pick

Under 10 runs bet. Baltimore and Kansas City

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Mike Lineback early pick

POD Baltimore Orioles/Kansas City Royals UNDER 9.5

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"Bulgarian Paid service" 152-130.5-1.5 (3-2)

AZ Alkmaar - Goteborg ,Over 2.5 @ 1.87

Elfsborg vs Teteks:bet on Elfsborg ( -1.5) @1.85

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TOTALS 4 U

Top Play
TX OVER 8-

REG Plays
NYM OVER 8-
Colo UNDER 8-
SF UNDER 8
KC UNDER 9-

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Platinum Plays

Premium Play
SD

400,000K Play
TEX

Reg Plays
NYM
SF
NYYY
WSox

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KIKI SPORTS

Thursday July 29th

3 units Atlanta -135
1 unit Florida/ San Fran UNDER 8
1 unit Philly -160

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The Joker's Bet of the Day:
Back Over 2.5 Goals at 2.04 in Crvena Zvezda v Slovan Bratislava

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Outlaw sports Advisors

3*** San Fran -140
3*** San Fran 1st 5inngs